62%CHANCE

Updates and corrections

Platforms, fees and laws change faster than books get reprinted. Every change since the book went to print is logged here, newest first.

Checked October 20, 2026

Log

  1. First edition. Every fee, rule and legal status in the book and on this site was checked on this date.
  2. Polymarket US changed its fee to 0.0695 × contracts × P × (1 − P), rounded to the nearest cent on each fill. The book and the calculators use the new rate.

Dates to watch

  1. Kalshi’s response is due on the Supreme Court petition in Flaherty v. KalshiEX.
  2. Comments close on the CFTC proposal to add event contracts to the definition of a swap.
  3. Fourth Circuit (Maryland) ruling on Kalshi’s sports contracts; Second Circuit (New York) in briefing.

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